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Oliver's Insights - The risk of a double dip has risen, but is still not probable

This note takes a look at the risk of a double dip back into recession for the global economy.

 

 

The key takeouts are:

  • While the risk of a double dip for the global economy has increased, we remain of the view it will be avoided.
  • Shares may still see further weakness into September/October, but they are likely to experience strong returns on a six to 12 month horizon as it becomes clear the global recovery is continuing.